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Abstract
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This paper uses the Markov chain model and the Industrial Structure Advancement Index to explore the industrial development process of resource-based regions in China from 2010 to 2021 and the change in industrial-structure toughness under the impact of COVID-19. By building the spatial Dubin model, the paper analyzes the spatial spillover effect of regional industrial development; it decomposes the spillover effect using the partial differential model based on regression. The results show that, during the study period, the comprehensive development level of industries in resource-based regions in China was slowly improving. It tended to stabilize after entering the post-pandemic era. The evolution of an advanced industrial structure is significantly heterogeneous among regions, and each region has different industrialstructure toughness due to its own factors. The impact of COVID-19 has reduced the toughness of China's resource-based regions' industrial structure. The spatial spillover effect of regional industrial development is significant. Labor force, technology input, and industrial-structure optimization have different impacts on the industrial development of neighboring regions. In the post-pandemic era, in order to realize the sustainable and high-quality development of resource-based regions in China, China proposes to expand the supply of resources, improve the allocation of resources, optimize the direction, promote the rational flow and efficient aggregation of various factors, and enhance the impetus for innovation and development.
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